Highest temperature in Busan on August 15?

Platform comparison

Market context

Busan's August temperatures are shaped by the East Asian summer monsoon system, which typically peaks in mid-August with sustained heat and humidity. The city sits on the southern coast of South Korea, where maritime influences moderate extremes compared to inland regions, though daytime highs regularly exceed 30°C during this period. The Gimhae International Airport station, which will provide the resolution data, sits approximately 20 kilometres north of central Busan and records observations across a relatively open terrain that captures representative conditions for the broader metropolitan area.

Historical August records for Busan show the highest temperatures typically cluster between 33–35°C, with the all-time August maximum reaching 36.5°C in 2018. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an expectation that the August 15 high will fall below the lowest threshold offered in this market's range structure. This positioning reflects the typical distribution of August highs rather than any exceptional cooling pattern; most years see at least one day in mid-August exceed 33°C, making extremely low outcomes statistically unlikely.

The resolution hinges entirely on Weather Underground's Daily Observations table at Gimhae station, which records sub-daily temperature readings rather than relying on summary high-low figures. Traders should verify the exact temperature bands offered before committing, as the gap between ranges will determine whether marginal differences in atmospheric conditions—such as cloud cover from passing weather systems or timing of peak heating—shift the outcome materially. August 2026 forecasting remains speculative this far ahead, though seasonal monsoon patterns are typically well-established by mid-month.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Busan on August 15?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?

Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.