🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5) 100% O/U 2.5 Games 70% Match Winner 59% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $113K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)100%
O/U 2.5 Games70%
Match Winner59%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)33%
Map 2 Winner31%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.516%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: 100 thieves vs astralis (bo3) - stake pulse beat ii playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stak… on Champions League Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction.

See all markets →