Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

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Market context

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have already met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf–Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, on 15 August 2025, making the current market’s 0% probability for a future meeting logically consistent with the fact that the next qualifying encounter would have to be a second summit[1][4]. This Alaska summit was the first face-to-face meeting between US and Russian heads of state since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022, yet it concluded without any ceasefire or agreement being announced[3][7]. A previously proposed Budapest summit in Hungary was cancelled by Trump in October 2025 after Russia refused to moderate its maximalist territorial claims, illustrating how diplomatic friction has repeatedly blocked follow-up meetings[5].

Traders should monitor announcements regarding the upcoming G7 Summit in France, where Trump and Putin agreed to continue discussions during their 80th-birthday phone call in June 2026[6]. Recent reports from Reuters indicate Russia has accused the US of failing to fulfil understandings reached at the Alaska summit, a significant shift that could derail any planned trilateral meeting with Zelensky in Istanbul or Ankara[9][10]. Lavrov’s comments suggest uncertainty over whether the Anchorage summit was designed to lead to further talks, while Kremlin sources confirm US representatives Witkoff and Kushner are expected to return to Russia soon, potentially setting the stage for renewed negotiations[7][6]. Any announcement of a trilateral meeting within the next week or two would be the primary catalyst for a probability shift, though current signals suggest such an event remains unlikely[8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Where will Trump and Putin meet next? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

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On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

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How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.