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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

How the prediction market is pricing "Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 72% Completed Match 55% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $106K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.572%
Completed Match55%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.554%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.548%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner46%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili27%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.519%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner0%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of chengdu open: jenson brooksby vs nikoloz basilashvili. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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