Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 48.5 | 85% |
| O/U 50.5 | 84% |
| O/U 46.5 | 82% |
| O/U 54.5 | 81% |
| O/U 42.5 | 80% |
| O/U 56.5 | 77% |
| O/U 44.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| O/U 52.5 | 70% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 67% |
| Oregon O/U 27.5 | 67% |
| Oregon vs. USC | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| Oregon O/U 30.5 | 58% |
| O/U 58.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| USC 1H O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| USC O/U 27.5 | 53% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 15.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 37.5 | 52% |
| O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Oregon O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| Oregon O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| USC O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| USC 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| O/U 80.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| USC 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon vs. USC: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 46% |
| Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 62.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 64.5 | 42% |
| USC O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 66.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| O/U 70.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -11.5 | 27% |
| Spread -12.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 68.5 | 19% |
| O/U 76.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 72.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| O/U 82.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Oregon vs. USC prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and USC, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "USC" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $468K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Oregon vs. USC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
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- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
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- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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