Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| Baylor O/U 20.5 | 94% |
| Spread -0.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -1.5 | 89% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| Baylor vs. UCF | 88% |
| Baylor O/U 23.5 | 86% |
| O/U 39.5 | 84% |
| Spread -4.5 | 82% |
| Spread -3.5 | 82% |
| Spread -5.5 | 80% |
| O/U 41.5 | 79% |
| Spread -6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -7.5 | 69% |
| Spread -8.5 | 67% |
| O/U 45.5 | 67% |
| Baylor O/U 29.5 | 61% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 47.5 | 56% |
| Baylor O/U 32.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -13.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 53% |
| O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Baylor O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UCF 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCF 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UCF Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor vs. UCF: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UCF O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| UCF 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| UCF 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Baylor O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| UCF 2H O/U 12.5 | 44% |
| UCF 1H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| O/U 51.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| O/U 53.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Spread -20.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| O/U 57.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| UCF O/U 23.5 | 23% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| UCF O/U 32.5 | 16% |
| UCF O/U 35.5 | 15% |
| Spread -0.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 14% |
| UCF O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| UCF O/U 26.5 | 13% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -2.5 | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| O/U 69.5 | 5% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Baylor vs. UCF prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and UCF, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. This market will resolve to "UCF" if U…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $895K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Baylor vs. UCF. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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