Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 98% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| O/U 43.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| O/U 45.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| O/U 39.5 | 90% |
| North Dakota State O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 86% |
| O/U 47.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| Spread -7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 51.5 | 68% |
| Spread -9.5 | 67% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Nevada O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| Nevada O/U 23.5 | 37% |
| Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| Spread -16.5 | 33% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 29% |
| O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| O/U 73.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| Spread -18.5 | 20% |
| Spread -19.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 10% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State | 8% |
| Spread -22.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -26.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -30.5 | 1% |
| Spread -33.5 | 1% |
| Spread -36.5 | 1% |
| Spread -34.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Nevada vs. North Dakota State. In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $179K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Nevada vs. North Dakota State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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