🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Penn State vs. Michigan

How the prediction market is pricing "Penn State vs. Michigan" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% Volume: $389K Liquidity: $206K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Penn State vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5100%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
2H O/U 30.590%
2H O/U 33.590%
4Q O/U 16.590%
4Q O/U 19.590%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.590%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.590%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.590%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.590%
Michigan O/U 2.590%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q453%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.553%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q248%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q148%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.548%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.548%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.548%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.548%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.548%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.548%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q347%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown47%
Pick-Six Scored47%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.510%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.510%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.510%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.510%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.510%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
Penn State O/U 2.510%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.51%
Penn State vs. Michigan0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Penn State O/U 20.50%
Penn State O/U 23.50%
Penn State O/U 26.50%
Penn State O/U 29.50%
Penn State O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 23.50%
Michigan O/U 26.50%
Michigan O/U 29.50%
Michigan O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 35.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 11.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 13.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
2H Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Penn State vs. Michigan — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Penn State vs. Michigan".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $389K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Penn State vs. Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade Penn State vs. Michigan on Champions League Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports