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SMU vs. Louisville

How the prediction market is pricing "SMU vs. Louisville" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 58.5 100% 1H Moneyline 100% 2Q Moneyline 100% O/U 38.5 100% Volume: $2.0M Liquidity: $240K Closes: 19 Sept 2026
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SMU vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 58.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
O/U 68.5100%
O/U 70.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
2H O/U 23.5100%
2H O/U 26.5100%
2H O/U 29.5100%
2H O/U 32.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
1Q O/U 18.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
SMU O/U 23.5100%
SMU O/U 26.5100%
SMU O/U 29.5100%
Louisville O/U 29.5100%
Louisville O/U 32.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 12.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 14.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 16.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 12.5100%
SMU 2H O/U 12.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 15.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 17.5100%
4Q O/U 16.598%
4Q O/U 19.598%
Spread -1.594%
O/U 48.593%
O/U 52.593%
O/U 54.593%
O/U 46.592%
O/U 66.592%
O/U 72.591%
2H O/U 35.591%
3Q O/U 16.591%
3Q O/U 19.591%
Louisville O/U 23.591%
Louisville O/U 26.591%
Louisville O/U 35.591%
Louisville 2H O/U 13.591%
Spread -2.589%
O/U 74.556%
Spread -4.554%
Spread -5.554%
Spread -3.553%
Spread -6.551%
2H Moneyline50%
Louisville O/U 3.550%
SMU O/U 3.550%
Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Marquise Davis: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown50%
Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jakai Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carterrious Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
T.J. McWilliams: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -22.550%
O/U 76.550%
O/U 78.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 22.550%
SMU O/U 32.550%
SMU O/U 35.550%
SMU 2H O/U 14.550%
SMU 2H O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -1.548%
Spread -9.534%
Spread -7.531%
4Q Spread -3.529%
Spread -19.523%
Spread -4.58%
Spread -3.57%
Spread -6.55%
Spread -1.55%
Spread -16.54%
Spread -5.53%
Spread -2.53%
Spread -10.53%
SMU vs. Louisville2%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -11.52%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 14.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 16.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of smu vs. louisville. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between SMU and Louisville, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. This market will r…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 58.5 at 100% for "SMU vs. Louisville".

O/U 58.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.0M.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for SMU vs. Louisville. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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