Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Washington O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| USC O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Washington 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Washington 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| USC 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| USC 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Washington O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Washington vs. USC | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Washington 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| USC 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| USC O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Washington vs. USC prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Washington and USC, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.9M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Washington vs. USC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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