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Wisconsin vs. UCLA

How the prediction market is pricing "Wisconsin vs. UCLA" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1H Spread -0.5 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $399K Liquidity: $754K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Wisconsin vs. UCLA

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
Spread -0.580%
4Q O/U 7.578%
Spread -1.566%
Spread -2.563%
3Q O/U 7.553%
O/U 35.552%
Wisconsin O/U 20.552%
Wisconsin O/U 26.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
Wisconsin O/U 29.550%
Wisconsin O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 26.550%
UCLA O/U 29.550%
UCLA O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 35.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 12.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Wisconsin O/U 2.550%
UCLA O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
4Q O/U 10.545%
Spread -3.544%
Spread -4.543%
2H Moneyline42%
Spread -5.541%
4Q O/U 13.540%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA38%
O/U 39.537%
3Q O/U 10.537%
3Q O/U 13.537%
Spread -6.535%
O/U 37.531%
4Q Spread -2.530%
Spread -2.528%
Spread -7.528%
O/U 47.528%
O/U 51.528%
O/U 53.528%
O/U 57.528%
O/U 59.528%
4Q O/U 16.528%
4Q Spread -3.528%
Spread -8.527%
Spread -1.527%
UCLA O/U 23.525%
Spread -3.523%
Spread -8.522%
Spread -4.520%
Spread -10.519%
4Q O/U 19.517%
O/U 43.516%
Wisconsin O/U 23.516%
Spread -6.514%
Spread -5.514%
O/U 41.514%
3Q Spread -3.514%
Spread -13.511%
O/U 49.510%
Spread -7.59%
Spread -14.59%
Spread -10.58%
Spread -16.57%
O/U 45.57%
Spread -17.56%
O/U 55.56%
3Q O/U 19.56%
O/U 61.55%
Spread -16.54%
Spread -14.54%
Spread -13.54%
3Q Spread -2.54%
Spread -20.53%
Spread -17.52%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 12.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 14.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Wisconsin vs. UCLA — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Wisconsin vs. UCLA".

1H Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $399K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wisconsin vs. UCLA. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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