Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for West Virginia vs. Iowa State. In the upcoming college football game between West Virginia and Iowa State, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "West Virginia" if West Virginia win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $804K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for West Virginia vs. Iowa State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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