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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets

"Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $243K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Team Falcons meet 1win in a best-of-two Dota 2 series, with the market already pricing the outcome as a near-certainty for the “More markets” leg. The real-world read is straightforward: Falcons have the stronger recent record and a far higher ranking profile, while 1win arrive from a much lower base. Strafe’s current Dota 2 rankings place Falcons at **#1** and 1win at **#44**, and list Falcons as having won **4 of their last 5** matches, versus **2 of 5** for 1win.[8]

Historically, this pairing has been one-way. Falcons beat 1win **2-0** at FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 on 22 March 2025 and also **2-0** at The International 2024, giving Falcons the cleaner head-to-head record in Dota 2.[1] Recent form points the same way: Falcons have already taken 2-0 wins over Xtreme Gaming and Poor Rangers at the Esports World Cup 2026, while 1win have been more uneven, including a 1-2 loss to Vici Gaming and a 0-2 loss to Yandex.[1][11]

For traders, the key catalysts are team-sheet stability and whether either side rotates after packed scheduling. Falcons finished a dense July run with several best-of-twos and then played at 1win Essence II immediately before this series, so fatigue or stand-in risk would matter more than usual if either camp changes line-up late.[1][11] No suspension or injury issues are evident in the available match listings, so the main watchpoint is any pre-match roster announcement or last-minute substitution from either organisation; if the listed starters hold, the crowd’s 100% view is consistent with the current results profile.[1][3][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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