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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 63% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 59% Game 1 Winner 57% Game 2 Winner 57% Volume: $2.1M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?59%
Game 1 Winner57%
Game 2 Winner57%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?57%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?46%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Ends in Daytime44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks36%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 56% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-22T08:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

World-affairs prediction markets price discrete geopolitical outcomes — ceasefires, treaty signings, leadership transitions — and tend to drift on rumour and snap-correct on official announcements.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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