🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

How the prediction market is pricing "US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 91% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 90% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 53% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 51% Volume: $555K Liquidity: $250K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.591%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.590%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.553%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-6.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.547%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner37%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.535%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner34%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner32%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: mariano navone vs novak djokovic stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic on Champions League Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets