Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| O/U 40.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -18.5 | 52% |
| O/U 46.5 | 51% |
| California O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Adam Mohammed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tylik Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Umari Hatcher: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shavane Anderson Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ian Strong: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chase Hendricks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Weaver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Outten: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Mini: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Clement: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Steve Angeli: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashten Emory: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Perry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan King: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dorian Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Carter Vargas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darien Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Julian McFadden: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zamondre Merriweather: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyion Grayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Hamper: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| O/U 64.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 58.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 30% |
| California vs. Syracuse | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| O/U 52.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 53.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 55.5 | 18% |
| O/U 54.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| California 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| California 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| California 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
The California vs. Syracuse prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between California and Syracuse, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $297K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for California vs. Syracuse. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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