Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| O/U 28.5 | 70% |
| O/U 30.5 | 70% |
| O/U 36.5 | 65% |
| Utah State O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| O/U 42.5 | 52% |
| Troy vs. Utah State | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Troy O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| O/U 46.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| O/U 48.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 62.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| O/U 68.5 | 35% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 52.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Troy 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Troy 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Troy 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
Market context
Troy vs. Utah State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 51% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $306K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Troy vs. Utah State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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