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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

"Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 65% Game 1 Winner 61% Game 2 Winner 59% Any Player Ultra Kill 56% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $419K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner65%
Game 1 Winner61%
Game 2 Winner59%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Any Player Rampage53%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?47%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)37%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Rampage27%
Any Player Rampage27%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival prediction market currently prices this outcome at 65% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tea…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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