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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 99% Match Winner 93% Volume: $741K Liquidity: $603K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Any Player Ultra Kill99%
Match Winner93%
First Blood in Game 1?91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner82%
Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)81%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games18%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Ends in Daytime1%
Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: rekonix vs yakult brothers (bo3) - games of the future playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between REKONIX and Yakult Brothers in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REK…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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