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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $318K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
Match Winner51%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: team yandex vs og (bo2) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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