Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The ITF Women's event in Granby, Quebec will feature a first-round encounter between Canadian Kayla Cross and Annabelle Xu on 13 July 2026. Cross, ranked around 400 on the WTA scale, competes regularly on the ITF circuit where she has accumulated wins against players of similar ranking. Xu, similarly positioned in the lower rankings, has competed sporadically on the professional tour. The 100% implied probability suggests the market has resolved or reflects extreme confidence in one player's participation, though the settlement window extends to 21 July—eight days beyond the scheduled date—indicating tolerance for minor delays.
ITF tournaments at this level frequently experience withdrawals, illness, or scheduling conflicts that affect match completion. The seven-day grace period built into the resolution criteria reflects standard practice for lower-tier professional events where fixture congestion and travel logistics create genuine uncertainty. Recent ITF results for both players would typically show modest win-loss records against comparable opposition, with head-to-head data likely non-existent given their ranking proximity and limited circuit overlap.
Traders should monitor the official ITF and Tennis Explorer databases through mid-July for withdrawal announcements, which often emerge 48 hours before matches at this tier. Weather disruptions in Quebec during summer are minimal but possible. The settlement window's extension beyond the scheduled date suggests the market operator anticipated potential rescheduling; any announcement of match postponement beyond 20 July would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause regardless of eventual outcome.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Annabelle Xu. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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