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Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland 13% Any Other Score 11% Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland 10% Israel 1 - 0 Republic of Ireland 10% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $213K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland13%
Any Other Score11%
Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland10%
Israel 1 - 0 Republic of Ireland10%
Israel 0 - 1 Republic of Ireland9%
Israel 2 - 1 Republic of Ireland9%
Israel 1 - 2 Republic of Ireland8%
Israel 0 - 2 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 2 - 0 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 2 - 2 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 3 - 1 Republic of Ireland4%
Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 1 - 3 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 3 - 2 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 0 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%
Israel 2 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%
Israel 3 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%

Market context

Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 10% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T18:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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