Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Bears 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 98% |
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| O/U 32.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 90% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 86% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| Spread -7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Bears O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -8.5 | 68% |
| Spread -9.5 | 66% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Bears O/U 19.5 | 58% |
| O/U 42.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Bears O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Bears Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bears vs. Packers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 7-12 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Bears O/U 12.5 | 40% |
| Bears O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| O/U 46.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 30% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 25+ | 30% |
| O/U 48.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Bears O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 50.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -19.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| O/U 52.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 12% |
| Bears O/U 23.5 | 11% |
| O/U 54.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Bears vs. Packers | 6% |
| O/U 56.5 | 6% |
| O/U 58.5 | 4% |
| O/U 60.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| O/U 62.5 | 2% |
| O/U 64.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| O/U 66.5 | 1% |
| O/U 68.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Bears 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Bears vs. Packers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 53% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-11T20:25:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.3M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Bears vs. Packers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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