Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| De'Von Achane: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 50% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chris Bell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Justin Joly: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Noah Gray: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to chiefs vs. dolphins - player props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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