Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 96% |
| O/U 23.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 25.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 28.5 | 90% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| O/U 29.5 | 88% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 85% |
| Raiders O/U 10.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| Raiders O/U 12.5 | 81% |
| O/U 33.5 | 80% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 79% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Raiders O/U 13.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 75% |
| O/U 36.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 37.5 | 69% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Raiders O/U 16.5 | 66% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 64% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 40.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Raiders O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| O/U 43.5 | 51% |
| Raiders vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Raiders O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Raiders vs. Saints | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| O/U 48.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 35% |
| Raiders O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 31% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 12.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 51.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| O/U 52.5 | 25% |
| O/U 53.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Raiders O/U 26.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Raiders O/U 27.5 | 21% |
| O/U 55.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 25+ | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 19-24 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 13-18 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-12 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 58.5 | 15% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-6 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Raiders O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Raiders O/U 34.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Raiders vs. Saints. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET: If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If the game is postponed,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $308K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Raiders vs. Saints. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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