Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 86% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 84% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 73% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 34.5 | 68% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 65% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 62% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| O/U 38.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 21+ | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 40.5 | 49% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 44% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 42.5 | 43% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 40% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 44.5 | 36% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 36% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| 1H Moneyline | 33% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| O/U 46.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 28% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 26% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 48.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| O/U 50.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 17% |
| Spread -19.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 12% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 56.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 3% |
Market context
Eagles vs. Commanders. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 30% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-02T01:20:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $554K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Eagles vs. Commanders. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
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- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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