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Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces

"Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Spread -10.5 100% Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 100% NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5 100% A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $242K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -10.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5100%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5100%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 7.5100%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 14.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 8.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 13.5100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces0%
O/U 173.50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.50%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.50%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 16.50%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.50%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 6.50%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.50%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.50%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.50%
O/U 172.50%
O/U 171.50%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.50%
O/U 170.50%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
O/U 169.50%
O/U 168.50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.50%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.50%

Market context

The Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 11 at 6:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vega…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -10.5 at 100% for "Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces".

Spread -10.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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