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Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot

How the prediction market is pricing "Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 21.5 99% Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set Handicap +/-1.5 99% Volume: $975K Liquidity: $61K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 21.599%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set Handicap +/-1.599%
Completed Match90%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 22.590%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 10.590%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 23.525%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Total Sets: O/U 2.520%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 Winner13%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot2%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 Winner0%
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, iasi open: ilinca amariei vs elsa jacquemot stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Amariei and Elsa Jacquemot in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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