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Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $419K Liquidity: $140K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek0%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Townsend and Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend'…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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