Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 208.5 | 95% |
| O/U 210.5 | 94% |
| O/U 212.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| O/U 214.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 89% |
| O/U 216.5 | 87% |
| O/U 218.5 | 84% |
| O/U 220.5 | 81% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 80% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | 78% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 78% |
| O/U 222.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 76% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| O/U 224.5 | 73% |
| Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 71% |
| O/U 226.5 | 70% |
| Spread -3.5 | 70% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 51.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 66% |
| O/U 228.5 | 65% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| O/U 230.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 61% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 58% |
| O/U 232.5 | 57% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 55% |
| Cavaliers O/U 121.5 | 55% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Cavaliers O/U 119.5 | 54% |
| Cavaliers O/U 115.5 | 54% |
| Cavaliers O/U 113.5 | 54% |
| O/U 234.5 | 53% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 53% |
| Cavaliers O/U 117.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 52% |
| Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 235.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 49% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 236.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Cavaliers O/U 123.5 | 48% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 47% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Bucks O/U 124.5 | 47% |
| Bucks O/U 126.5 | 47% |
| Cavaliers O/U 135.5 | 47% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| AJ Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| O/U 237.5 | 46% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Cavaliers O/U 127.5 | 46% |
| Cavaliers O/U 129.5 | 46% |
| Cavaliers O/U 131.5 | 46% |
| Cavaliers O/U 133.5 | 46% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| O/U 238.5 | 43% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 34.5 | 42% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 42% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| AJ Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -12.5 | 40% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Cavaliers O/U 125.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| O/U 240.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 38% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 37% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 37% |
| Spread -14.5 | 36% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 36% |
| O/U 242.5 | 35% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.5 | 34% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5 | 33% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| AJ Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| O/U 244.5 | 31% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 7.5 | 31% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5 | 30% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 30% |
| Spread -16.5 | 29% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 246.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -18.5 | 26% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 26% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 25% |
| O/U 248.5 | 24% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 24% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 22% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| O/U 250.5 | 21% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 21% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 252.5 | 19% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| O/U 254.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 16% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 14% |
| O/U 256.5 | 13% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| O/U 258.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -26.5 | 9% |
| O/U 260.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -15.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| AJ Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 8% |
| Spread -28.5 | 7% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| O/U 262.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| Spread -36.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -30.5 | 6% |
| O/U 264.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 5% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 5% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 5% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 4% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
Market context
Cavaliers vs. Bucks. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 78% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-01T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $746K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Cavaliers vs. Bucks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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