Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -0.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| Spread -8.5 | 93% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 92% |
| Spread -10.5 | 90% |
| Spread -11.5 | 87% |
| Spread -13.5 | 86% |
| Spread -14.5 | 83% |
| Spread -16.5 | 83% |
| Spread -15.5 | 83% |
| Spread -18.5 | 77% |
| Spread -19.5 | 77% |
| Spread -17.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 75% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 73% |
| Spread -20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 35.5 | 65% |
| Spread -22.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 37.5 | 63% |
| Spread -21.5 | 63% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| Spread -23.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Texas O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 49% |
| Spread -25.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 47% |
| O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -26.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| Spread -27.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| O/U 41.5 | 36% |
| O/U 43.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -28.5 | 35% |
| Spread -29.5 | 35% |
| Spread -30.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| O/U 45.5 | 24% |
| Spread -32.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -35.5 | 16% |
| O/U 49.5 | 15% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 51.5 | 13% |
| Spread -36.5 | 13% |
| O/U 53.5 | 9% |
| Spread -38.5 | 9% |
| O/U 55.5 | 7% |
| Spread -39.5 | 7% |
| Spread -42.5 | 7% |
| Mississippi State O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 57.5 | 5% |
| O/U 59.5 | 5% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| O/U 71.5 | 3% |
| O/U 73.5 | 3% |
| O/U 75.5 | 3% |
| Mississippi State O/U 23.5 | 3% |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas | 2% |
| O/U 63.5 | 2% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Texas, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. Thi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $625K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Mississippi State vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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