Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 95% |
| O/U 190.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 94% |
| O/U 192.5 | 93% |
| O/U 194.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 92% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 92% |
| O/U 196.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 89% |
| O/U 198.5 | 88% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 87% |
| O/U 200.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 85% |
| Thunder O/U 96.5 | 85% |
| O/U 202.5 | 83% |
| Thunder O/U 98.5 | 81% |
| O/U 204.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| O/U 206.5 | 77% |
| Thunder O/U 100.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 75% |
| O/U 208.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 71% |
| Thunder O/U 102.5 | 70% |
| O/U 210.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 69% |
| O/U 212.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 64% |
| Thunder O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 63% |
| O/U 214.5 | 61% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 58% |
| O/U 216.5 | 57% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Thunder O/U 106.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 55% |
| O/U 217.5 | 54% |
| O/U 218.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Rockets O/U 110.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| O/U 219.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Thunder O/U 108.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| O/U 220.5 | 47% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 44% |
| O/U 222.5 | 43% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| Rockets O/U 113.5 | 43% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Thunder O/U 110.5 | 42% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 34.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| O/U 224.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 38% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 37% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 37% |
| Thunder O/U 112.5 | 37% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 36% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| O/U 226.5 | 34% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 32% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 228.5 | 31% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Thunder O/U 114.5 | 31% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 55.5 | 30% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 29% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5 | 28% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| O/U 230.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 27% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 27% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 18.5 | 26% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Thunder O/U 116.5 | 25% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| O/U 232.5 | 23% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| Spread -12.5 | 21% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 21% |
| Thunder O/U 118.5 | 21% |
| O/U 234.5 | 20% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| O/U 236.5 | 18% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 17% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| O/U 238.5 | 16% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 15% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Thunder O/U 120.5 | 14% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| O/U 240.5 | 13% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 12% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 12% |
| Spread -18.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| O/U 242.5 | 10% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -15.5 | 7% |
| O/U 244.5 | 7% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| O/U 246.5 | 6% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -32.5 | 4% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 2% |
Market context
Thunder vs. Rockets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 43% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-01T00:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.9M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Thunder vs. Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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